| Mean Predicted vs. Actual Final Times, 2000 U.S.A. Olympic Swim Trials | ||||||
| Error in | Percentage | |||||
| Predicted Time ( sec ) | Actual Final Time ( sec ) | seconds from | error from | |||
| EVENT | ( From Recent Power ) | ( Mean From Top Eight ) | Prediction | Prediction | ||
| Men's | 50 m. | Freestyle | 22.54 +/- .10 | 22.26 +/- .37 | -.28 | -1.24% |
| Men's | 100 m. | Freestyle | 49.79 +/- .19 | 49.44 +/- 0.78 | -.37 | -0.74% |
| Men's | 200 m. | Freestyle | 1:49.66 +/- .23 | 1:48.73 +/- 1.17 | -.93 | -0.62% |
| Men's | 400 m. | Freestyle | 3:53.73 +/- 1.07 | 3:52.33 +/-4.09 | -1.40 | -0.60% |
| Men's | 1500 m. | Freestyle | 15:24.23 +/- 3.30 | 15:18.90 +/- 12.37 | -5.33 | -0.58% |
| Men's | 100 m. | Backstroke | 55.31 +/- .18 | 55.29 +/- .71 | -.02 | -0.04% |
| Men's | 200 m. | Backstroke | 2:00.33 +/- .83 | 2:00.13 +/- 1.83 | -.20 | -0.17% |
| Men's | 100 m. | Breaststroke | 1:02.33 +/- .09 | 1:01.96 +/- 0.87 | -.37 | -0.59% |
| Men's | 200 m. | Breaststroke | 2:15.54 +/- .42 | 2:15.57 +/- 2.58 | +.03 | 0.02% |
| Men's | 100 m. | Butterfly | 53.87 +/- .33 | 53.58 +/- .53 | -.29 | -0.54% |
| Men's | 200 m. | Butterfly | 1:59.53 +/- .29 | 1:59.08 +/- 1.76 | -.45 | -0.28% |
| Men's | 200 m. | Individual Medley | 2:02.29 +/- 2.74 | 2:03.30 +/- 1.80 | +1.01 | 0.83% |
| Men's | 400 m. | Individual Medley | 4:21.17 +/- .93 | 4:20.94 +/- 6.51 | +.23 | 0.09% |
| Women's | 50 m. | Freestyle | 25.63 +/- .25 | 25.46 +/- .34 | -.17 | -0.66% |
| Women's | 100 m. | Freestyle | 55.64 +/- .30 | 55.28 +/- .64 | -.36 | -0.65% |
| Women's | 200 m. | Freestyle | 2:00.84 +/- .42 | 2:01.12 +/- 0.46 | +.28 | 0.23% |
| Women's | 400 m. | Freestyle | 4:13.18 +/- 2.49 | 4:13.01 +/- 3.14 | -.17 | -0.07% |
| Women's | 800 m. | Freestyle | 8:40.93 +/- 4.82 | 8:36.38 +/- 8.0 | -4.55 | -0.87% |
| Women's | 100 m. | Backstroke | 1:02.24 +/- .17 | 1:02.36 +/- 1.33 | +.12 | 0.19% |
| Women's | 200 m. | Backstroke | 2:13.43 +/- .78 | 2:15.11 +/- 1.8 | +1.68 | 0.72% |
| Women's | 100 m. | Breaststroke | 1:10.23 +/- 1.50 | 1:09.00 +/-1.24 | -1.23 | -1.75% |
| Women's | 200 m. | Breaststroke | 2:29.50 +/- .40 | 2:29.00 +/- 2.73 | -.50 | -0.33% |
| Women's | 100 m. | Butterfly | 1:00.17 +/- .23 | 59.49 +/-1.19 | -.68 | -1.13% |
| Women's | 200 m. | Butterfly | 2:12.08 +/- 1.38 | 2:12.84 +/- 2.35 | +.76 | 0.58% |
| Women's | 200 m. | Individual Medley | 2:15.99 +/- .14 | 2:16.32 +/- 1.73 | +.33 | 0.24% |
| Women's | 400 m. | Individual Medley | 4:50.00 +/- 1.63 | 4:47.18 +/-3.98 | -2.82 | -0.97% |
| -0.34% | Women's Average Percentage Error | |||||
| -0.34% | Men's Average Percentage Error | |||||
| -0.34% | Men's & Women's Average Percentage Error | |||||
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Last updated: 9 Feb. 2001