Contextualizing The Meaning of Probabilities C. Y. Joanne Peng, Anne Buu, and Bernard Flury Indiana University-Bloomington

8/10/98


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Table of Contents

Contextualizing The Meaning of Probabilities C. Y. Joanne Peng, Anne Buu, and Bernard Flury Indiana University-Bloomington

Research Questions

Subjects

Instrument

Procedure: the First (Expectation) Task

21 Educationally Related Statements

21 Educationally Related Statements

21 Educationally Related Statements

Procedure: the Second (Paired Comparison) Task

Procedure: the Third (Probability Restatement) Task

Results: the Effect of the Magnitude of Numbers in the Fractional Restatement on the Use of Probability Expressions

Results: the Effect of Subjects’ Expectation of the Real Probability of the Event on Their Use of Probability Expressions

Results: Numeric Meanings of Probability Expressions in the Numeric-to-lexical Mapping within Educational Contexts

Two Statistical Methods Used to Analyze the Paired Comparison Data

Results: the Comparison of the Least Squares Scales and the Logit Scales

Results: the Comparison of the Least Squares Scales and the Logit Scales

Results: the Consistency between the 1992 and the 1998 Study

Author: Richard F. Xaver

Email: peng@indiana.edu

Home Page: http://www.indiana.edu/~jopeng/

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